JUNE 2001

 

Britain could become as cold as Moscow
By Steve Connor, Science Editor

The Independent, UK

21 June 2001
Britain's winter climate could become as cold as Moscow's, according to new evidence that the vital ocean currents of the North Atlantic are beginning to change.

Measurements over the past 50 years have shown that a key deep-sea current running along the ocean floor that separates Scotland from the Faeroe Islands has slowed down by at least 20 per cent. If the discovery is matched at other sites in the North Atlantic it could be the first sign that the warm Gulf Stream, which dominates the British climate, is itself beginning to slow.

One of the greatest fears of global warming is that rising temperatures could upset the Gulf Stream by switching it further south, causing northwestern Europe to descend into the temperature extremes of central Russia, which is at the same latitude. It would mean that a warmer world caused by the man-made emissions of greenhouse gases could, paradoxically, lead to a colder and more uncomfortable climate for Britain.

A team of scientists from Scotland, Norway and the Faeroe Islands publish their findings today in the journal Nature. They show that one of the deep-sea currents running in the opposite direction to the Gulf Stream and many hundreds of metres below it, from the Norwegian Sea into the Atlantic Ocean, has slowed by at least 20 per cent since 1950. Such a substantial change over a relatively short period has surprised the scientists, who believe that global warming may be beginning to exert a profound switch in the warm Atlantic "conveyor belt" that keeps winters mild in Britain and the rest of northwestern Europe.

"I had not expected this but it was predicted that there would be a slowdown due to climate change," said Bogi Hansen, an oceanographer from the Faeroese Fisheries Laboratories at Torshavn in the Faeroe Islands, and the principal author of the study. "Climate change is the most natural explanation for this. It is not the only possible explanation but it is the most likely."

The research centred on measurements taken of water movements in a deep-sea channel that separates the Faeroes from northern Scotland. The current in the Faeroe Bank channel pushes about 2 million cubic metres of water every second into the Atlantic, an amount equivalent to about twice the total flow of all the rivers of the world combined. "It is an awesome waterfall," Dr Hansen said.

The water moves along the seabed many hundreds of metres below the opposing currents caused by the Gulf Stream, or North Atlantic drift. These warmer currents at the surface could not exist without their colder counterparts on the seabed moving in the opposite direction to complete the "conveyor belt".

Scientists fear that if one of the key deep-ocean currents running from the Norwegian Sea into the Atlantic is slowing, then the incoming surface current must also be decelerating Further measurements at another deep channel in the Denmark Strait, which separates Greenland from Iceland, are needed to confirm whether the 20 per cent decrease in flow is matched elsewhere, Dr Hansen said.

"If this reduction we have seen in the Faeroe Bank channel is also seen in the Denmark Strait then we can be sure that the North Atlantic flow has been reduced," he said.

The most likely explanation for the slowdown is the rising amount of freshwater in the Norwegian Sea due to melting sea ice. This not only increases surface sea temperatures but, more importantly, it lowers salinity levels, causing the water to be less dense and therefore less able to sink to the depths necessary to drive seabed currents.

"The seas are warmer and there is more freshwater not just from melting sea ice but from the Siberian rivers. The water has to be salty and dense or it just won't sink," Dr Hansen said.

If sea ice is not forming as fast as it should, then an important "pump" that drives ocean circulation is switched off. Falling salinity levels in the northern oceans have already been recognised as an important change that could affect long-term climate.

Historical studies have shown that the Gulf Stream can flip, causing northern Europe to descend rapidly into an ice age. It is estimated that without the ocean current, Britain's average temperatures would be between 5C and 10C cooler, with much greater extremes in winter and summer.

Some studies have suggested that the Gulf Stream has slowed in more recent history, causing the mini-ice ages of the middle ages and the 17th century, when the Thames frequently froze over.

Tim Osborn, a climate scientist at the University of East Anglia, said: "This ocean circulation helps to keep northern Europe warm in winter, which is why it is so important. Because of the large impact a possible switch in the current may have, it can't be ignored, even though the probabilities may be small," Dr Osborn said.

Next week, more than 100 scientists will meet to discuss the latest findings at an international conference on ocean circulation at the Southampton Oceanography Centre.

John Gould, director of the centre's ocean circulation project, said that any signs of a weakening in the ocean circulation that drives the Gulf Stream could indicate that some long-term change is under way.

"It may be the precursor of something more significant," Dr Gould said. "This is fairly strong and robust evidence and it is another piece in the jigsaw."

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... more news on the EU's stance after Goteborg and Bush's visit to Europe

EU Policy News

Emissions More News  

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CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS JUMP 2.7% IN THE U.S.
LA Times
June 30, 2001

WASHINGTON--Carbon dioxide emissions, a major contributor to
global warming, jumped nearly 3% in the United States last year
while declining in other industrialized nations, according to
preliminary estimates released Friday. The new figures, compiled
by the U.S. Energy Information Administration, show that the
United States released 1,558 million metric tons of carbon dioxide
into the atmosphere in 2000, up 41 million tons from 1999. It was
the biggest U.S. increase in years.
"That's an astonishingly large increase in a single year," said
Robert Williams, a senior research scientist at the Princeton
University Center for Energy and Environmental Studies. "The major
reason is we don't have a policy to address this problem. We need
to have a national target and some kinds of incentives [for
business] and a regulatory system that will get us to meeting
these national goals." But Perry Lindstrom, an energy expert for
the federal agency, said the 2.7% increase in carbon dioxide
emissions is a "normal fluctuation" from the average annual growth
rate of 1.5%.
The statistics are expected to increase pressure on the Bush
administration to propose tough policies to rein in so-called
greenhouse gas emissions. President Bush has been widely
criticized by U.S. allies and environmentalists for his decision
to end U.S. participation in the Kyoto global warming accord and
for reversing a campaign pledge to regulate carbon dioxide
emissions from U.S. power plants.
The agency attributed the increase in carbon dioxide emissions to
several factors:
The U.S. economy continued to grow, increasing fossil fuel use
across the board. Average temperatures dropped somewhat after
several years of abnormally warm weather, increasing use of fossil
fuels to generate heat. And a drought in the West reduced
hydroelectric generation and boosted power production from fossil
fuel plants.
Transportation-related emissions, mainly from cars and trucks,
jumped 2.6%, while industrial emissions increased 1.8%, the agency
calculated.
Williams said Americans' lifestyles are a major factor in the
increased emissions.
"In transportation, we have had a major shift to sports-utility
vehicles that are real intensive carbon dioxide emitters because
they're gas-guzzlers," he said.
The Bush administration will have an opportunity later this summer
to deal with that issue when it decides whether to tighten fuel-
efficiency standards for cars and light trucks, including SUVs.
But, Williams said, it would take more than that to reduce
emissions enough to avoid major disruptions of the global climate.
In particular, he said, the country must find alternative energy
sources that do not release large quantities of carbon dioxide
into the atmosphere.
Electrical power plants, many of which are fueled by coal or
natural gas, account for about a third of U.S. emissions of
greenhouse gases. Nuclear power and renewable energy sources, such
as wind and solar power, produce no carbon dioxide, but most
experts say they won't replace fossil fuel power plants any time
soon under current economic conditions.
China, the world's second-largest generator of greenhouse gases,
has reduced its emissions by 17% since the mid-1990s by replacing
old coal-fired power plants with more efficient ones. Over the
same period, China's gross domestic product grew 36%. Britain's
emissions have fallen to a 10-year low for much the same reason:
It has replaced older power plants fueled by coal and oil with
natural gas plants, which are more efficient and emit less carbon
dioxide.
The latest increase in U.S. carbon dioxide emissions is expected
to be a sore spot next month when Bush goes to the Group of 8
meeting of industrialized nations in Genoa, Italy, and a U.S.
delegation attends the next session of the Kyoto accord
negotiations--as a observer instead of a participant.
The United States is responsible for about a quarter of the
world's total emissions of greenhouse gases. White House spokesman
Scott McClellan said Bush is concerned that global warming
emissions are increasing. That is why he named a Cabinet-level
task force to come up with "innovative ways to pursue market-based
incentives and make use of new technologies to reduce greenhouse
gas emissions by a significant amount in the years ahead,"
McClellan said.
Global warming is a phenomenon caused by increasing concentrations
of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases in the Earth's
atmosphere. The gases trap solar heat, causing surface
temperatures to rise over time. Scientists believe the long-term
environmental effects could be profound, including increased
drought in semi-arid regions, melting glaciers and higher sea
levels.
See also-
Boston Globe
Reuters report
EIA website

more news on recent emission figures here

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UK greenhouse gas emissions fall to 10-year low
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UK: June 29, 2001

LONDON - Britain's emissions of greenhouse gases, blamed by many scientists for global warming, have fallen to a 10-year low mainly as a result of a drop in pollution from power stations, the government said yesterday.
Emissions from the electricity industry dropped after new clean-burning gas power stations replaced older plants fuelled by coal and oil - both big producers of carbon dioxide, the main gas blamed for climate change.
Gas use in generation has grown from nothing in 1990 to around 30 percent.
"The downward trend is well established in Britain. It shows countries can adopt a series of measures with little or no cost to the economy to meet their Kyoto targets," said Kate Hampton, a spokesperson for environmental group Friends of the Earth.
The National Statistics Office said while emissions from industry fell between 1990 and 1999, pollution from households rose because of increased energy use at home.
Emissions of greenhouse gases by the non-domestic sector of the UK economy, weighted by global warming potential, fell by 16.5 percent.
However, emissions from households increased by 6.5 percent over the same period.
Pollution from road transport increased by eight percent between 1990 and 1999, mainly from commercial vehicles, despite a fall of 0.5 percent in the most recent year.
The Kyoto climate change protocol calls for industrialised states to cut their carbon dioxide emissions by an average five percent from 1990 levels by 2020.
Scientists say if countries do not curb air pollution, then the climate will be affected with temperatures rising in coming decades, leading to higher sea levels and big changes in weather patterns.

REUTERS NEWS SERVICE

more news on recent emission figures here

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--------------------------------

Taking No Chances
Disaster-Conscious Firms Treat Global Warming as a Reality
By Greg Schneider
Washington Post Staff Writer
Tuesday, June 26, 2001; Page E01
After two unusually warm winters melted profits at his natural gas distributing company in Dallas, Robert W. Best decided he needed protection. So he spent $4.9 million on a new tool called weather insurance.
If global warming causes the customers of his Atmos Energy Co. to continue using less gas to heat their homes, the policy will pay out cash to offset the company's operating losses.
That's the kind of practical response beginning to take place throughout U.S. industry as business leaders face up to the prospect of climate change.
While the Bush administration debates other governments about whether man-made pollution causes global warming -- and, if so, who should take responsibility -- many industries are trying to cope with the realities of extreme weather.
Insurance companies have begun hiring meteorologists to reassess the risk of natural disasters. Farmers are planting different types of crops and looking for crisis-proof seeds. Great Lakes shipping companies are petitioning Congress for dredging to compensate for falling water levels. Colorado ski resorts are discounting tickets to bring people back to the slopes after two sweaty winters.
These changes are incremental, not massive shifts in operations. But over time, those incremental reactions could add up to a major adaptation to "climate change's pervasive and growing impacts over the next century," said Nick Sundt, a scientist with the U.S. Global Change Research Program in Washington.
"I don't know for sure about global warming, but I do know the past 15 or 20 years have been warmer than normal," said Best, the chairman, president and chief executive of Atmos. "Some people will claim it's the natural cycle, but for us it doesn't really matter. . . . We've got to do something to protect ourselves."
Atmos, which distributes natural gas in 11 states, including Virginia, began investing in weather insurance a year ago. The winter that began in November 1998 and the one that followed were both more than 15 percent warmer than usual across the company's entire market, Best said.
He read about weather insurance in a trade journal and bought it through energy broker Enron Corp. If temperatures had been warmer than average last winter by a certain amount, Atmos would have gotten money back. As it turned out, last winter was slightly cooler and the insurance didn't kick in. But Atmos, concerned about the broader warming trend, has signed up for two to three more years.
Enron began offering the insurance in about 1997, said Todd Kimberlain, chief meteorologist for Enron Weather Risk Management. El Niño -- a periodic flow of warm surface water in the Pacific that disrupts weather patterns worldwide -- had produced several extremely warm winters, and companies were looking for a way to make themselves less financially vulnerable, Kimberlain said.
Some scientists believe El Niño and other weather systems intensify when gases such as carbon dioxide are released into the atmosphere by the burning of fossil fuels. Such substances are called greenhouse gases because they tend to trap heat, warming up the earth's surface.
The extra heat could provide energy to drive El Niño, hurricanes and other weather events. Warmer air can hold more moisture, so when it does rain, there is more potential for flooding. The real danger of global warming, some scientists say, is that it could produce greater extremes in the weather -- a possible explanation for such recent phenomena as unforeseen high storm waves in the North Atlantic and flooding in Europe.
An unusually fierce El Niño has been blamed for reducing water levels in the Great Lakes over the past three years. Pleasure boats float below dock level and cargo ships can't pull up to shore to unload -- all symptoms of a problem that caused shipping companies to lose thousands of tons of carrying capacity last year.
George J. Ryan, president of the Lake Carriers' Association of shipping companies, said he personally worries about the causes of the lower water levels, but professionally just has to focus on the solutions. "I have to say from an industrial standpoint, I just have to consider what it will take for us to remain competitive," he said.
While Great Lakes water levels have gone through low cycles in the past, Ryan said, none of them came on as quickly as the most recent cycle. The recent warm winters prevented the lakes from freezing, causing them to continue evaporating year-round.
For now, boating interests are asking Congress to spend about $2 million to deepen a pair of Great Lakes channels. But both industry and scientists fear global warming could cause long-term water loss -- predicted to be as much as four feet by the end of the century -- that would require far more expensive dredging and could even threaten the U.S. steel industry with crippling transportation costs.
The same uncertainty has affected the recreational skiing industry. Beginning in 1998, U.S. ski resorts suffered two straight winters of unusual warmth and low snowfall. While this year brought better conditions for the Northeast, several resorts in Colorado had to extensively discount tickets to boost their business. That led to sharp drops in profits.
On the other hand, business is fine for Areco Snow Systems North America, the Vermont-based distributor of Swedish snow-making equipment. Artificial snow has become the only way ski resorts can guard against increasingly erratic winters, said the company's president, Peter Geise. "There's definitely a warming trend," he said.
For some industries, the biggest worry is that the weather is becoming more unpredictable and extreme.
"What's of increasing concern to those in agriculture is that it seems like we have greater variation in the weather," said Richard Stuckey, past executive vice president of the Iowa-based Council for Agricultural Science and Technology.
What farmers really need, he said, are seeds that can withstand both drought and floods. In western Iowa, for instance, a recent period of unusual dryness led farmers to switch from corn to the more drought-resistant sorghum. But now they are struggling with unseasonably cool, wet weather.
Wanda Sorrells hears similar complaints from gardeners all over the country who call her for advice at the Park Seed Co. in Greenwood, S.C. As a senior staff horticulturist, Sorrells said she has become increasingly perplexed by the weather extremes she hears about from customers.
"There just seem to be unusual occurrences and these fluctuations where it will be unusually warm for a few weeks and then unusually cold, and that can be hard on certain plants," Sorrells said.
The biotechnology giant Monsanto Co. has an extensive search program for plant genes that are resistant to drought and other stresses in hopes of engineering hardier crops. While a company spokesman said those efforts are not aimed specifically at global warming, they are in response to an increasing demand from farmers for more resilient plants.
Agricultural scientists agree there are higher levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. But they disagree on whether the increase is caused by human activity and whether it leads to global warming. Higher carbon dioxide is not necessarily bad for agriculture; it's what plants breathe, after all.
Even climatic warming could have short-term benefits.
"The temperature change in itself might lengthen the growing season and it might enable people farther north to grow crops that are now" not feasible, said Paul Waggoner, a scientist at the Connecticut Agricultural Experiment Station in New Haven. "Maybe the Dakotas would become like Kansas. You'd go from spring wheat to winter wheat. That sort of thing."
While farmers have years to adapt to such potential changes, the uncertainty alarms another industry: insurance, which needs to understand long-term risk to set rates and stay financially viable. "They don't want to get caught behind the eight ball and have the risks change without them knowing about it in advance," said John M. Wallace, a professor of atmospheric sciences at the University of Washington who has taken part in national climate studies.
Many of his colleagues, Wallace said, have held conferences to explain climate change to the insurance industry, "and they're starting to hire some of our graduates, as well."
One of those graduates is Lixin Xeng, who advises insurance companies as a vice president for risk analysis and technology services at Benfield Blanch Co., a global risk management and distribution firm.
"This year is warmer than 50 years ago on average, no argument," Xeng said. "And what we're interested in is whether this warming causes more natural disasters to occur."
Those disasters can range from the unexpected ferocity of a Hurricane Andrew, which devastated southern Florida in 1992, to the spread of a tropical disease such as the West Nile virus in a temperate place such as New York.
Meanwhile, British Petroleum PLC not only accepts that rising levels of carbon dioxide are causing the earth's average temperature to rise, it hopes to make a profit on it. The company is looking for profitable ways to reduce emissions and hopes to become the world's largest manufacturer of solar energy equipment.
"Now people are starting to look at this as a business opportunity," said Jeff Morgheim, who occupies a new position at BP: climate change manager. Companies, he said, are starting "to look at this in a whole new way."
© 2001 The Washington Post Company

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Informal climate talks in The Hague 25th to 28th of June 2001- most recent news first

other news reports here 1, 2, 3

EU presses Japan, US to allow deal on Kyoto
EU: June 28, 2001

BRUSSELS, - The European Union's top environment official said yesterday the future of the Kyoto pact on global warming depended on the political will of Japan and the non-interference of the United States.
Commenting during high-level talks in The Netherlands aimed at paving the way for a meeting in Bonn next month to shore up the shaky environmental deal, EU Environment Commissioner Margot Wallstrom said negotiators were "facing a difficult situation".
"We are working hard to get an agreement in Bonn and are willing to be flexible," Wallstrom said in a statement released in Brussels.
"The key question is: do other countries, including Japan, have the political will to make Bonn a success? And will the U.S. let the other parties go ahead? That is at least what President (George W.) Bush promised." The talks, in the Dutch seaside town of Scheveningen, are aimed at clarifying exactly what can be achieved in Bonn - a meeting seen by many as the last chance for keeping Kyoto alive since the United States rejected the deal in March.
The EU wants Japan to push ahead with the 1997 climate change deal with or without the United States.
Japan, which previously negotiated alongside the United States to get flexible rules on cutting greenhouse gases, is trying to bring the U.S. administration back on board - an ambition considered hopeless by most EU officials.
Japanese Environment Minister Yoriko Kawaguchi, in an interview with the BBC yesterday, repeated that Japan would try to bring the United States back into the treaty, but did not say if Tokyo would back the deal without the participation of Washington.
However, she did say Japan was in line with the European Union and other nations in trying to make the protocol legally binding next year.
"We would like to see the protocol enter into force by 2002," she said.
"We are committed to make it into force by 2002."
REUTERS NEWS SERVICE

other news reports just below 1, 2, 3

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Russia seeks wider "sinks" use in climate talks
NETHERLANDS: June 28, 2001

SCHEVENINGEN, The Netherlands, - Russia is insisting at informal climate talks that more of its forests and farmland be counted as "carbon sinks" to reduce its greenhouse gas totals, Germany's environment minister said yesterday.
Russia was setting out its position at high-level talks in the Netherlands aimed at paving the way for a meeting in Bonn next month to shore up the 1997 Kyoto pact on global warming, which the United States has rejected.
"Russia demands...to have more forest and (farm) land being accounted," German Environment Minister Juergen Trittin told Reuters on the sidelines of the talks. There was no immediate confirmation from Russian delegates.
The reported Russian move comes two weeks after the head of the U.N. climate change forum, Dutch Environment Minister Jan Pronk, issued proposals that would allow Japan to claim wide areas of forest and farmland toward its pollution targets laid out under Kyoto.
The move to accommodate Japan was designed to keep Tokyo's support for the protocol following the U.S. President George W. Bush's rejection of the pact earlier this year.
Keeping the support of both Japan and Russia are seen as key to achieving ratification of the Kyoto Protocol, which calls for industrialised states to cut carbon dioxide emissions by an average of five percent from 1990 levels by 2010.
Carbon dioxide emissions, partly from the burning of fossil fuels, have been blamed by many scientists for contributing to global warming, which is expected to boost temperatures in the coming decades, raising sea levels and sharply altering weather patterns.

KYOTO TARGETS

Russia is expected to meet its Kyoto targets easily, since economic decline there has trimmed industrial output of carbon dioxide, but wider usage of "carbon sinks" would allow it to sell spare capacity to other states, Trittin said.
Such emissions trading could be lucrative for Russia and useful for rich industrialised states that would otherwise fall short of their Kyoto goals.
Environmental groups have criticised the emissions trading component as a market in 'hot air,' but Trittin said there was strong support among some European countries for such a system.
"There are countries inside the EU who would need emissions trading to meet their Kyoto targets," he said.
The informal negotiations among dozens of countries were called by Pronk and began earlier this week. They are to end on Thursday.
A handful of environmental protesters gave Pronk a life preserver at a protest outside the meeting on Wednesday and called on all delegates to ratify the treaty.
Russia and Japan are seen as key to ratification of the Kyoto Protocol to make it legally binding. It must be ratified by 55 countries representing 55 percent of the global carbon dioxide output. Romania is currently the only industrialised state to have officially adopted the protocol.
Despite the Russian conditions, Trittin said he still saw a willingness by Russia to bring the protocol into force.
"It's very clear Russia wants ratification. The rumours that (Russian President Vladimir) Putin is standing aside with (U.S. President Bush) are not true," he said.
In an interview with the BBC, Japanese Environment Minister Yoriko Kawaguchi reiterated earlier statements that Japan would continue trying to bring the United States back into the treaty, but did not comment on whether Tokyo would back the treaty without the participation of Washington.
However, she did say Japan was in line with the European Union and other nations in trying to make the protocol legally binding next year.
"We are committed to make it into force by 2002," she said.

Story by Matt Daily
REUTERS NEWS SERVICE

 

other news reports here 0, 2, 3

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States huddle over climate change ahead of Bonn
NETHERLANDS: June 27, 2001
SCHEVENINGEN, The Netherlands Ministers from dozens of countries yesterday pored over the latest proposals to curb global warming gasses at a final gathering before key U.N. talks next month in Bonn.
The talks, billed as an informal discussion on plans presented by United Nations climate change forum chief Jan Pronk, were also the last chance for a meeting behind closed doors to prod wavering states, such as Japan, to back the Kyoto Protocol after the United States rejected the treaty earlier this year.
The 1997 Kyoto Protocol calls on industrialised states to cut emissions of carbon dioxide by an average of five percent from 1990 levels by 2010.
Carbon dioxide partly produced by burning fossil fuels has been blamed by many scientists for contributing to global warming, which is expected to boost temperatures in the coming decades, lifting sea levels and altering weather patterns.
Pronk, who is also the Dutch environmental minister, issued proposals to jump start the stalled talks earlier this month with special provisions that would allow Japan to move closer to its output reduction targets by using its forests as carbon absorbing 'sinks'.
It was not immediately clear whether Pronk's plan went far enough to keep support in Tokyo, where many politicians are wary of breaking ranks with the United States over the issue.
Swedish Environmental Minister Kjell Larsson told Reuters on the sidelines of the meeting that the European Union was satisfied with using Pronk's proposals as the basis for the Bonn negotiations.
"Unfortunately there seem to be other countries that don't share that view," he said, declining to specify which states expressed reservations.
Jennifer Morgan, climate change director for the environmental group World Wildlife Fund, said the pressure was mounting on Japan to move forward without the United States, as the European Union has said it would.
"The future of the protocol lies in the hands of Japan. It will either live or die depending on what Japan decides," she said.
A delegation from the U.S. State Department was also attending the talks, despite criticisms from President George W. Bush that the Kyoto targets were unrealistic and did not include output cuts by developing nations, such as China and India.
Larsson said the US team had participated, but had not shown any sign they would support the pact.
"It's too early to say," he said.

 

report from Japan Times just below

more recent news pieces on The Hague

REUTERS NEWS SERVICE
 

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Japan, EU lock horns over COP6

THE HAGUE (Kyodo)

Japan and the European Union remained at odds Monday after
separate discussions among negotiating blocs of mostly industrialized
countries on a compromise plan that would lead to ratifying the Kyoto
Protocol next month.
Representatives from Japan, the EU and other countries are here for an
informal ministerial conference on global warming from Tuesday to Thursday
to prepare for the sixth Conference of Parties of the U.N. Framework
Convention on Climate Change (COP6), aimed at finalizing the operational
rules of the Kyoto Protocol.
A new proposal for the global warming talks was drafted by Dutch Environment
Minister Jan Pronk, who chaired last year's collapsed talks here and who
will chair the resumed COP6 session from July 16 to July 27 in Bonn,
Germany.
In order for the Kyoto Protocol to be swiftly ratified, agreements on the
operational rules must be reached during the resumed session, along with
treaty ratification by the EU and Japan.
However, the prospects of this happening seem to be diminishing, given the
succession of criticism from Japan and others of Pronk's draft plan, which
would be the basis for the operational rules.
Pronk's proposal, released June 11, is seen as giving preferential treatment
to Japan -- considered a key nation in the protocol's swift enforcement --
as it accepts nearly all of Japan's demands regarding the use of forests to
absorb carbon dioxide.
The issue of "carbon sinks" is a focal point of the resumed session, as The
Hague talks last year collapsed because of differences over the importance
of these environmental preserves.
According to Japanese government officials, at Monday's high-level meeting
of a negotiating bloc that also included Australia and the United States,
there was sharp criticism of the proposal and opposition to it underscoring
the resumed session.
At the meeting, the U.S., the world's largest carbon dioxide emitter, also
reaffirmed its intention to withdraw from the protocol, as originally
announced by U.S. President George W. Bush in March.
Meanwhile, another negotiating bloc comprising the EU and countries of the
Middle East held an unofficial meeting the same day and basically agreed to
resume the session based on the proposal, according to sources close to the
negotiations.
These diverging stances suggest a scenario in which Japan is pitted
primarily against the EU in future negotiations, according to sources in the
two blocs.
Earlier Monday, Environment Minister Yoriko Kawaguchi met with British
Deputy Prime Minister John Prescott in London, where they agreed to make
joint efforts in future protocol negotiations. Kawaguchi later flew here to
attend the ministerial meeting.
As Prescott has previously served as an intermediary between the U.S. and
the EU, it is hoped he will also help bridge the Japan-Europe gap.
The Kyoto Protocol, signed in 1997, aims to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions
of industrialized countries by an average 5.2 percent from 1990 levels by
2012.The Japan Times: June 27, 2001
(C) All rights reserved

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EU mission to visit over Kyoto protocol

BRUSSELS (Kyodo)

A European Union delegation will visit Japan on either July 6 or 9 in an effort to save the 1997 Kyoto Protocol on global warming, EU diplomatic sources said Wednesday.
The schedule is tentative, but those two days are the only ones on which the EU mission can visit Japan and Australia, who are traditionally allies of the United States on climate change, the sources said.
EU Environment Commissioner Margot Wallstrom and representatives from Sweden and Belgium will be included in the delegation.
The representatives will be decided Thursday, the sources said.
Belgium will take over the six-month rotating EU presidency from Sweden on July 1.
The mission is aimed at obtaining commitments from the two countries to ratify the international accord on curbing global warming.
EU leaders agreed on the mission during summit talks last week.
The EU is concerned about the possibility that Japan and Australia will follow the United States in rejecting the pact, which legally requires developed countries to reduce emissions of heat-trapping gases.
In the leadup to the resumed U.N. climate-change talks in Bonn, Germany, scheduled to open in mid-July, the EU is trying to garner support from U.S. allies as they are pivotal to bringing the pact into force by next year.
The Kyoto pact will take effect with ratification by at least 55 parties, which must include developed countries representing at least 55 percent of the total 1990 carbon dioxide emissions from the group.
Since the United States, the world's largest emitter of carbon dioxide, has announced its rejection of the agreement, the EU is aiming for ratification of the treaty even without the U.S., and other big emitters, including Japan and Russia, have become crucial to salvaging the accord.
Japan has not clarified whether it will ratify the treaty if the U.S. stays out of the framework, while Australia has expressed a negative view on ratifying the pact without the U.S.
The EU sent a delegation to Japan, Russia, China and Iran in April to discuss the repercussions of U.S. President George W. Bush's announcement that America would pull out of the international environment agreement.
The Japan Times: June 22, 2001
(C) All rights reserved

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German eco-employment on the rise
Environment Daily 1015, 22/06/01
-------------------------
About 1.3m Germans now have environment-related jobs, amounting to
3.6% of the entire workforce, the country's environment agency reported
yesterday. The agency predicts that the figure - which is based on
1998 data - will double by 2005.

Environment minister Jürgen Trittin leapt on the figures as proof of
his government's contention that ambitious environmental policies - and
particularly climate policies - also benefit the economy. Another
report published earlier this year came to the same conclusion (ED 12/03/01 ).

Eco-employment was now one of the country's biggest sectors, the
minister continued, counting for more jobs than mechanical engineering
(1.15m), car making or the food industry (both under 1m).

The new research is presented in the German environment agency's
annual report for 2000. Other topics reviewed are EU and national
chemical policies, transport, the government's ongoing ecological tax
reform programme and drinking water safety.

Follow-up: German environment agency
tel: +49 30 89 03 22 26, a press release
eco-employment background paper (pdf) and annual report (pdf)
See also environment ministry press release.

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German govt, industry sign CHP-subsidising deal

GERMANY: June 26, 2001
FRANKFURT - An extended deal on encouraging heat and power (CHP) plants as part of a scheme to lower greenhouse gases emissions was signed by the German government and industry yesterday, the economics ministry said.
This followed broad agreement on the complicated deal last month and precedes its presentation to parliament with the aim of putting in place a new CHP law for January 1, 2002, to replace existing regulations.
"I am pleased to see that, after difficult negotiations, we have accepted voluntary measures by the industry instead of the originally planned quota system," economics minister Werner Mueller said in a press statement.
"I want to stress that we now also include small engine-driven CHP plants and the promotion of fuel cells with an additional budget of 700 million marks up to 2010.
"I expect a significant investment and innovation push from these measures."
Through the voluntary measures, combined with a payment scheme benefitting CHP operators to be borne partly by consumers, the energy sector expects to lower CO2 emissions via additional CHP usage by 23 million tonnes per year until 2010.
This is part of a broader commitment to save a total 45 million tonnes of CO2 each year until that date.
The scheme, which entails degressive payments to CHP operators, meets government demands that CHP-related state subsidies should not exceed eight billion marks.
New plant projects will be monitored to ensure the industry sticks to its pledges - otherwise, Mueller said, a quota system feared by industry and favoured by environmentalists will be installed.
CHP power is environmentally friendly, but costly, as it captures and passes on the heat derived from power generation.
The talks had been dragging on because they needed to reconcile the interests of big industrial energy producers, hundreds of small municipalities and industrial consumers.
Under the latest deal, the operators of the fledgling fuel cell technology, which use hydrogen and oxygen to produce electricity and heat, have been given green light for expansion.
Small engine-driven CHP plants, typically of less than two megawatt capacity and used for the on-site demands of small companies and public institutions, have been encouraged.
REUTERS NEWS SERVICE

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NZ carbon dioxide emissions rose 22 pct in '90s
NEW ZEALAND: June 28, 2001

WELLINGTON, - New Zealand, whose carbon dioxide emissions grow 22 percent in the decade of the 'nineties, is further away from its commitment to the Kyoto global warming treaty to cut greenhouse gases, the government said yesterday
The latest annual report on New Zealand's energy sector shows that gross carbon dioxide emissions grew two percent between 1999 and 2000, Energy Minister Pete Hodgson said in a statement.
"This data represents the size of the challenge faced by New Zealand in meeting its climate change commitments," Hodgson said.
New Zealand's overall carbon dioxide emissions from the energy and industrial process sectors increased by 22 percent between 1990 and 2000, up from 20 percent the previous decade.
The 1997 Kyoto Protocol, named for the city in Japan where it was signed, calls for industrialised countries to trim output of carbon dioxide, the main greenhouse gas, by an average of 5.2 percent from 1990 levels, by the year 2012.
The Kyoto treaty obliges New Zealand to cut its greenhouse gas emissions to 1990 levels by 2008-2012, or take responsibility for emissions above that level, Hodgson said.
New Zealand's gross carbon dioxide emissions in 2000 were 31.1 million tonnes in 2000, compared to 25.5 million in 1990.
New Zealand plans to announce in November a set of steps to try to meet its Kyoto objectives.
The government is also considering negotiated greenhouse pacts for energy-intensive industries and those with high emissions levels, in an expansion of its current voluntary agreements programme.

REUTERS NEWS SERVICE

more recent news on emission inventories

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Europe trades cleaner fuels ahead of German tax break

UK: June 25, 2001
LONDON - European oil companies are gearing up to a German tax break in favour of ultra-low sulphur fuels by buying and selling increasing volumes of cleaner diesel and petrol, traders with those firms said on Friday.
From November 1, motor fuels sold in Germany with a sulphur content higher than 50 parts per million (ppm) will be subject to an additional duty of three pfennigs per litre.
This tax burden will be extended to fuels with sulphur content of more than 10ppm from January 1, 2003.
Michael Winkler, head of environmental affairs at German refinery industry association Mineraloelwirtschafts-verband (MWV), said that there had "so far been no domestic refiner that has complained that it can't make the November 1 date."
He said the extra cost of manufacturing ultra-low sulphur (50ppm) diesel was about three pfennigs per litre relative to the current 350ppm standard grade required under existing European Union legislation.
"The price for the normal fuels will be the same as, if not higher than the lower sulphur," Winkler said. "The goal is to totally replace the higher sulphur fuels."
A diesel barge trader with an oil major active on the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) market said he had on Thursday sold a 2,000-tonne Rotterdam refinery barge of 50ppm to another major at $25 a tonne over July IPE gas oil futures.
The trade, done at a price that was $12 a tonne above deal levels for 350ppm diesel, followed the sale of another 4,000 tonnes on Wednesday.
"I expect a total of about 10,000 tonnes of 50ppm diesel barges to be sold this week," the trader said. "That compares with about 50,000 tonnes of 350ppm diesel."
Traders said refiners were slowly but surely building up to the November 1 German deadline.
"It's starting slowly; Germany will start soon refreshing tanks for the change-over; people are trading it at the moment, testing out their storage facilities, and so on," one ARA trader said.
Ultra-low sulphur diesel (ULSD) and ultra-low sulphur petrol (ULSP) - also 50ppm sulphur - are already widely sold by petrol retailers in Britain, encouraged by government tax incentives.
ULSD is also widely available in the Netherlands, while ULSP is sold at petrol forecourts across Scandinavia.
Gasoline traders have seen growing interest in trading of ULSP on the northwest European cargo market over recent months. They expect barge trading to start in earnest this autumn.
The European Union has already set an indicative limit of 50ppm sulphur for both petrol and diesel effective from January 1, 2005, but no final agreement on these Auto-Oil restrictions aimed at reducing traffic pollution has yet been reached.
Story by Keyvan Hedvat

REUTERS NEWS SERVICE

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French power bills to rise on high wind prices - CRE

UK: June 25, 2001
LONDON - French electricity bills will rise significantly as the government has set high guaranteed prices for wind-generated electricity, said the country's energy watchdog CRE on Friday.
Earlier on Friday, the government confirmed wind energy producers will be paid 55 centimes per kilowatt hour for the first five years and then prices will fall to an average 48 centimes/KWh over 15 years.
State-owned Electricite de France will pay the fixed prices to the wind producers and then can pass the cost to consumers.
"The CRE (Commission de Regulation de l'Electricite) believes the price proposed for wind producers will lead to a significant increase in electricity prices in France," said the watchdog in a statement.
It estimated that if 10,000 MW of wind power was built under this system, residential prices would have to rise three percent and industrial prices by 15 percent to pay for the wind energy.
This is equivalent to an increase of between one and two centimes per kilowatt hour. The cost of subsidising France's whole renewables programme, which includes solar and biomass, will come to 3-4 centimes/KWh by 2010.
France, which depends heavily on nuclear power, has very little wind generation and the government wants to kick-start the sector to increase the amount of electricity produced from green sources.
The regulator added the proposed prices were well above wind generators' production costs and raised a question about state-aid to the sector.
"The government has chosen a very expensive way of doing this. With the same targets, the costs could be a third lower for example by using market driven mechanisms," Thierry Trouve, in charge of relations with producers and suppliers at the CRE told Reuters by telephone from Paris.
Trouve said wind generators' operating costs were between 30 and 35 centimes/KWh while typical French electricity prices were around 20 centimes/KWh.
Because EdF is government-owned, the programme could be interpreted as state aid and the government did not seek European Union approval before setting the tariffs, said Trouve.
Recently the European Court of Justice ruled that generous prices paid by German utilities for renewable energy were allowed under EU law but Trouve said that case was different as the companies were privately owned.
"The problem is to know if the French scheme is compatible with that EU decision," he said.
The French government has said it chose the guaranteed price system to develop renewables as it would be quicker than using market mechanisms like green certificates.
In market-based systems, renewable generators issue green certificates which are bought by suppliers as a way to meet legal commitments to buy a certain amount of electricity from environmentally friendly sources.
France has a target to produce 21 percent of its energy from renewable sources by 2010, building on the 15 percent currently generated by hydropower.
The government is working on fixed price proposals for small hydro, solar and biomass.
REUTERS NEWS SERVICE

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Oslo says to meet Kyoto goals with new technology

NORWAY: June 25, 2001
OSLO - Norway said on Friday it would promote new pollution-free technology in power plants to help it keep a promise to combat global warming under an international climate pact rejected by the United States.
"The government wants Norway to ratify the Kyoto protocol," Environment Minister Siri Bjerke told a news conference, referring to the 1997 deal on limiting emissions of gases blamed for driving up world temperatures.
She said that Norway, which has promised to limit a rise in emissions of "greenhouse gases" to one percent by 2008-12 from 1990 levels, would seek new technology to eliminate carbon dioxide emissions from gas-fired power plants.
"The government invites industry to cooperate on such technology," she said. "We will support construction of a demonstration plant for a pollution-free gas power plant to be ready around 2005," she said.
Oslo would also continue to tax emissions of CO2 by industry until an international system for trading emissions quotas was in place.
Oslo further proposed a shift from the use of oil to natural gas in buses, ferries and ships supplying the offshore oil and gas industry.
It would also promote ways of supplying electricity to offshore oil and gas platforms, now among the biggest sources of greenhouse gases in Norway. Bjerke said she had no overall estimates of costs of the plan.
She said that Norway was stepping up work to fight "greenhouse gases" after U.S. President George W. Bush decided in March to reject the Kyoto protocol, reckoning it was too costly and unfair because it excludes developing nations.
"Norwegian work on Kyoto has been intensified since March," she said. Scientists say creeping climate change is spreading deserts, bringing more extreme weather in floods or hurricanes and raising sea levels.
"Norway will cooperate closely with the European Union so that the Kyoto protocol enters into force," she said. Norwegians voted "No" to EU membership in 1994.
Norwegian environmental group Bellona welcomed the Norwegian measures. "We're very pleased. Emission free gas power plants and electrification are big, big steps forward," Frederic Hauge, head of Bellona, told Reuters.
In April, Prime Minister Jens Stoltenberg had hinted that Norway might scale back its fight against global warming after the U.S. rejection. He later said his remarks were misinterpreted.
REUTERS NEWS SERVICE

ENDS report on Norway's climate strategy just below

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Norway publishes climate white paper
Environment Daily 1015, 22/06/01
-------------------------
The Norwegian government today launched its white paper on climate
policy with a reaffirmation of its commitment to the Kyoto protocol.

Responding to recent media reports that it was planning to postpone
ratification, the environment ministry said in a statement: "The
government wants Norway to ratify the Kyoto protocol, and Norway will
cooperate closely with the EU and with other countries so that the
Kyoto protocol will come into force."

The white paper emphasises research and development, in particular of
"profitable technology [for] CO2-free gas-fired power stations," and
implementation of "a broad quota system with a ceiling on emissions" in
respect of which the government sees itself as an "innovator".

In the shorter term, it recommends: continuation of existing CO2
taxes pending implementation of the quota system; collaboration with
industry; measures to reduce or limit non-industrial sulphur
hexafluoride emissions, as well as emissions of HFCs and PFCs; use of
natural gas as fuel for buses, ferries and vessels serving the offshore
oil sector; and local and regional climate projects.

Norway is committed under Kyoto to a maximum 1% increase in
greenhouse gas emissions from 1990 levels in 2008-2012, and to
demonstrating "clear progress" by 2005.

The focus on CO2-free gas technology is something of a U-turn for the
government, as plans for several conventional gas-fired power stations
are already well advanced. According to the white paper, the aim is now
to build a CO2-free pilot plant by 2005. Some commentators are
convinced that this would mean scrapping the current projects.

In the industrial sector, the government will rely on voluntary
agreements to achieve reductions and/or stabilisation. In the
aluminium industry, for example, new figures released yesterday show
that the sector has cut greenhouse gas emissions by 52% over the past
ten years. Much of that reduction - equivalent to 4% of the national
total - stems from a voluntary agreement drawn up in 1997.

Follow-up: Norwegian environment ministry
tel: +47 22 24 58 10, and press release.

 

Reuters report on the same topic here

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French climate challenge underlined
Environment Daily 1015, 22/06/01
-------------------------
French greenhouse gas emissions were 1% below their 1990 level in 2000
but will rise significantly in future without new counter-measures, the
country's inter-ministerial commission on climate change (MIES)
reported this week. France is committed to pegging emissions to 1990
levels by 2008-2012 under the Kyoto protocol.

According to MIES, the key policy priority must be to introduce new
economic instruments, especially aimed at moderating energy demand and
increasing penetration of renewable energies. The commission
acknowledged that the government has faced "serious difficulties" in
introducing such measures, but called for these to be "surmounted
without delay ".

Chief among the government's failure on economic instruments has been
an industrial energy tax. This was due to enter into force in January
but was ruled unconstitutional at the last minute (ED 03/01/01).
It formed the centrepiece of a national climate change action
programme launched in January 2000 (ED 20/01/00 ).

Follow-up: MIES, tel: +33 1 42 75
87 40, and the commission's review (word format)

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EU climate trading scheme set to emerge
Environment Daily 1016, 25/06/01
-------------------------
The European Commission is close to proposing rules for an EU-wide
carbon dioxide emission trading scheme, it has emerged. Circulated
internally by the Commission's environment directorate, the draft
directive would establish a highly flexible trading regime from 1
January 2005.

If it passes this next test, the directive could be formally proposed
before international talks to finalise the Kyoto protocol resume in
Bonn next month. Its emergence would mark a huge about-turn in EU
attitudes to emission trading since the protocol was agreed in 1997 and
provide an important signal reaffirming its determination to implement
it.

According to the draft text, which has been seen by Environment Daily,
the scheme would cover only carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, and would
initially be restricted to certain installations under IPPC
legislation, such as oil refineries, coke ovens, smelters, cement
kilns, pulp and paper mills, and iron and steel furnaces. Chemical
plants would be excluded.

Also covered would be any combustion or power plant with a thermal
capacity of over 20 megawatts, with the exception of waste
incinerators. The directorate estimates that this scope would cover up
to 5,000 installations EU-wide, responsible for 40% of total CO2
emissions. Member states would be able to propose other sectors for
inclusion in the scheme.

EU governments would allocate emission allowances, expressed in tonnes
of CO2 equivalent, to firms covered by the scheme. They would be free
to choose the amount allocated, in line with their own Kyoto emission
reduction commitment, and to choose the allocation method, though all
allocations would have to comply with EU state aid rules.

Firms would have to keep within their allowance by reducing emissions
or buying emission rights from other companies. Failure to do so would
make them liable to fines of euros 200 per tonne. The directorate says
this is ten times the anticipated market value of carbon allowances.
Cross-border trades would result in appropriate adjustments to national
emission reduction targets.

The scheme would initially run for three-years. During this time firms
would be able to "bank" allowances from one year to the next. Whether
they could carry them forward into a second phase >from 2008 would be at
member states' discretion. In subsequent five-year allocation cycles
they would have unrestricted rights to bank allowances.

The directorate proposes no central body to organise a carbon
exchange. It says it is "convinced that market structures will arise
once the obligations are clear," and should be "left open to solutions
driven by the private sector." The proposal as a whole is "as simple as
it can be," it concludes.

Follow-up: European Commission http://europa.eu.int/comm, tel: +32 2
299 1111.

Reuters report on the same topic just below

CNE pages on ET

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EU drafts ambitious climate emissions trade plan
EU: June 25, 2001

BRUSSELS - A wide range of major European Union industries will be forced to take part in buying and selling the right to emit carbon dioxide (CO2), under a draft EU law seen by Reuters on Friday.
Oil refiners, electricity generators, metals smelters and processors and makers of cement, glass, ceramic, pulp and paper would all be required to take part in the "emissions trading" scheme which would start in 2005, the draft says.
The European Commission has said it will propose the emissions trading system, which is still under internal discussion, before the end of the year.
The plan - drawn up by the European Commission's environment department - is a key part of the EU's policy to achieve the cuts in the emissions gases blamed for global warming in the 1997 Kyoto protocol on climate change.
Under Kyoto - the United Nations climate change pact recently rejected by the United States because of fears over its impact on the economy - the EU must reduce greenhouse gas emissions by eight percent of 1990 levels by 2012.
The draft law on emissions trading would require governments to grant industrial installations the right to emit a certain annual amount of CO2 - a gas produced as an inevitable result of burning fuel which makes up 80 percent of the total greenhouse gas emissions covered by Kyoto.
STIFF FINES
If a plant emits less than its allocation it would be allowed to sell the surplus. If it overshoots it would have to buy credits from other companies - or face a stiff fine.
If firms failed to reduce their emissions, or to buy credits to make up for the any shortfall, they would have to pay 200 euros ($170.8) for every excess tonne of C02 - 10 times the amount the Commission reckons emissions will trade for.
The Commission says emissions trading will not in itself reduce greenhouse gases, but will allow industry to find the cheapest ways of cutting emissions.
The idea is not new. Emissions trading in the acidifying pollutant sulphur dioxide is already well established in the United States and some European countries, such as Denmark and Britain, have started work on their own CO2 trading systems.
But the EU-wide scheme would be the first major international CO2 emissions trading scheme and could be a pre-cursor to an international market, the draft says.
INTERNATIONAL MARKET
Emissions trading is one of the main "flexible mechanisms" allowed under the Kyoto pact and is seen as critical tool for some countries to be able to meet their emissions targets.
It is also of huge interest to Russia whose emissions have dropped substantially since 1990 due to economic decline and stands to profit if it is able to sell its CO2 credits to countries where emissions have risen.
The draft legislation is still being finalised by the Brussels-based EU executive and will then have to be approved by EU governments and the European Parliament, and is likely to be the subject of rigorous debate.
One likely discussion point is the choice of industry sectors that are targeted and the minimum size of plants that will be affected.
The chemicals industry is largely exempted under the draft, despite the fact it is covered by EU laws on environmental permits.
Waste incineration and transport are also not covered by the scheme and neither are combustion plants of less that 20 megawatts.
Also, the other greenhouse gases covered by Kyoto - methane, nitrous oxide and three fluorinated gases - will not be traded under the scheme as this would be too complicated, the draft says.
Story by Robin Pomeroy

REUTERS NEWS SERVICE

 

ENDS report on the same topic here

CNE pages on ET

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UK puts nuclear power on the agenda
ENDS 26/06/01
-------------------------
UK prime minister Tony Blair yesterday threatened an explosive row
over possible new nuclear power capacity as he launched the country's
first comprehensive energy review for 20 years.
The review is aimed at juggling long-term British energy security with
the need to continue cutting greenhouse gas emissions against a picture
of dwindling domestic oil and gas production. The UK has been a big net
petroleum exporter, but is set to become a net importer again within
the next decade.
Mr Blair's Labour government pledged not to build any more nuclear
stations in the run-up to its 1997 election victory, but didn't repeat
the promise before its re-election earlier this month.
One part of the longer-term solution, the government it has now
signalled, might be to resume a nuclear power generation programme
stalled since 1987. Nuclear currently produces 25% of UK electricity.
On current trends this could fall to 3% by 2020, with gas supplying
half of energy needs, coal 6% and renewables 4%.
Britain's environmental movement reacted sharply to the suggestion of
a renewed nuclear programme yesterday, calling for major support of
renewables instead. NGOs warned that Brian Wilson, the energy minister
who will lead the review, was "pro-nuclear".
Across Europe, Finland is the only other country considering building
more nuclear plants. Most countries with existing nuclear capacity are
seeking to phase out the industry.
Follow-up: UK press release . See also a project scoping note .
 
related report: study shows nuclear power economically unviable

 

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-------------------

Economics likely to hamper British nuclear revival
UK: June 27, 2001

LONDON - Nuclear power, dead and buried across much of Europe, is back under the spotlight in Britain after the government this week launched an in-depth review of the nation's future energy needs.
New Energy Minister Brian Wilson, who is said to be pro-nuclear, on Monday said the government would look at what role nuclear power could play in Britain's future energy mix, as well as assessing coal, gas, oil and renewables.
The move comes six years after the UK last commissioned a reactor and underscores nuclear's one big advantage over fossil fuels - the absence of greenhouse gas emissions which many scientists believe cause global warming.
But analysts said they doubted the economics of hugely expensive new reactors, which can take up to a decade to build, could be made to work in a liberalised energy market characterised by tumbling electricity prices.
"The decision to invest is down to commercial companies looking for a particular rate of return which make it difficult to justify nuclear unless there are very large premiums for emission reductions," said Neil Cornelius at industry consultants ICF.
"I don't see emissions permits as sufficiently valuable in the short to medium term to make up (for the high start-up costs)," he said.
New nuclear power stations cost three to four billion pounds ($4-$6 billion) to build, about four times as much as a gas-fired plant, analysts say.
"If you needed to make serious investment without any guaranteed return in deregulated markets then that could be very tricky," said David Newbery, an energy expert at Cambridge University.

JUGGLING OBJECTIVES

The clock is ticking for Britain's energy policymakers who must juggle the need for long-term, secure energy supply with a target of cutting greenhouse gas emissions by 23 percent below 1990 levels by 2010.
Nuclear accounts for roughly 22 percent of electricity supply in the UK, with coal and gas about a third each.
Renewable energy like wind and solar power accounts for just under three percent of supply, including hydro-electric plants.
Renewed prospects for nuclear power in the UK, where the last reactor was built in 1995, drew sharp condemnation from environmentalists.
"This energy review, and the fight against climate change, must not be used as an excuse to build a new generation of nuclear reactors," said Friends of the Earth campaigner Mark Johnson.
In addition to worries about safety, a big issue is how to dispose of radioactive nuclear waste from the plants which takes thousands of years to decay.
A reprieve for nuclear power in the UK would go against the approach taken across much of Europe.
Germany and Sweden have taken the plunge and decided to phase out nuclear energy and most other EU states are not actively developing nuclear power.
But France still relies on nuclear energy for 80 percent of electricity.
Finland is alone is expanding its nuclear sector with plans to build a fifth reactor.

LIFE SPAN EXTENSION UNCERTAIN

Analysts said it was unclear to what extent Britain could minimise the need to build new reactors by extending the life of existing plants.
"To determine the potential for life extension you need a sustained period of continuous operation over several years," said Stewart Gray, analyst at Scotland-based consultants Wood Mackenzie.
"Most of (British Energy's) AGR reactors have been up, down, broken and fixed. Life extension is a very uncertain issue," he said.
But he said on current evidence it appeared the UK's ageing reactors would shut before their counterparts in mainland Europe.
State-owned British Nuclear Fuels has already started shutting down its old Magnox plants and plans to switch them all off by 2021.
But Gray did not rule new nuclear stations in Britain in the longer term.
"My guess is that the UK would like to see new builds in the U.S. first but in that case we would be looking at 20 years down the line for new plants in the UK," he said.

Story by Stuart Penson
REUTERS NEWS SERVICE

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Belgium becomes third country to authorise KP ratification: news reports in Dutch
 

On Thursday the 21st of June, Belgians Second Chamber, the Senate, has authorised its government to proceed towards ratification of the Kyoto Protocol. This makes belgium the third EU Meber State to do so after France (June 2000) and Denmark (May 2001).
 
De Morgen
22-06-2001 Pagina 280 woorden
Kyoto krijgt fiat van Senaat
 

De Senaat heeft donderdag unaniem het wetsontwerp goedgekeurd ter instemming van het protocol van Kyoto over klimaatsverandering. De Senaat is het eerste parlement van België dat het protocol van Kyoto stemt. Ook de gewesten dienen hun fiat nog te geven. De Hoge Vergadering is niet het eerste Europees parlement dat het protocol goedkeurt. Frankrijk en Denemarken waren eerder, zo had Agalev-senator Johan Malcorps nagetrokken.

 

De Financieel Economische TIJD
VEV roept overheid op tot realisme bij implementatie Kyoto-protocol
Werkgevers voorstander van convenant over energie-efficiëntie
Mark Deweerdt 22-06-2001 Pagina 4 551 woorden
(tijd) - Het Vlaams Economisch Verbond (VEV) roept de federale en de Vlaamse regering op het Kyoto-protocol op een realistische manier te implementeren, met aandacht voor milieu, mens én economie. De Vlaamse bedrijven zijn bereid met de overheid bindende afspraken te maken over een maximale energie-efficiëntie van hun productie.
In Kyoto werden in december 1997 bindende doelstellingen afgesproken voor de vermindering van de uitstoot van broeikasgassen, ter uitvoering van het internationaal verdrag over klimaatverandering. Dat verdrag, dat in 1992 in Brazilië werd gesloten, beoogt de uitstoot van broeikasgassen te beperken, om gevaarlijke klimaatveranderingen te voorkomen. Het debat over Kyoto gaat de verkeerde kant op en wordt te veel in slogantaal gevoerd, zei Philippe Muyters, de gedelegeerd bestuurder van het VEV, gisteren op een persconferentie. De Vlaamse werkgeversorganisatie pleit voor een realistische benadering, die de economische, ecologische en sociale aspecten van de zorg om het milieu verzoent. Marc van den Bosch van de VEV-studiedienst beklemtoonde dat Kyoto een hoofdzakelijk economisch dossier is. De winst voor het milieu is immers hoogst onzeker. De voorgestelde reducties zullen de CO2-concentratie in de omgevingslucht niet doen dalen. Kyoto heeft bovendien weinig zin als de Verenigde Staten, de grootste uitstoter van CO2, niet meedoet. Bij de verdeling van de CO2-vermindering tussen de landen van de Europese Unie heeft België er zich toe verbonden de uitstoot van CO2 in de periode 2008-2012 met 7,5 procent te verminderen ten opzichte van het referentiejaar 1990. België en Vlaanderen hebben daarmee te veel hooi op de vork genomen, zegt het VEV. Duitsland, bijvoorbeeld, kan zijn doelstelling halen door vervuilende fabrieken in de voormalige DDR te sluiten, Engeland door om te schakelen van steenkool- op aardgascentrales. Dat is een niet te onderschatten economisch voordeel. Draconische maatregelen Wegens het hoge aandeel van de energie-intensieve bedrijven kan België de afgesproken norm niet halen, tenzij met draconische maatregelen. Men zou twee derde van de Vlaamse industrie kunnen dichtdoen, met een verlies van 400.000 arbeidsplaatsen tot gevolg, of het vervoer op de weg zo goed als uitschakelen, zei Muyters. Zelfs als de tien grootste bedrijven in Vlaanderen sluiten, wordt het milieu er niet beter van, want die bedrijven kunnen immers probleemloos uitwijken naar Portugal, Spanje of Griekenland. Dat de federale regering en de Vlaamse regering vorige week aankondigden het Kyoto-protocol door hun parlementen te laten ratificeren, heeft voor het VEV vooral symboolwaarde. De werkgeversorganisatie zou liever zien dat België van het EU-voorzitterschap gebruikmaakt om de vraag te stellen of het wenselijk is bedrijven te sluiten, en om een debat op gang te brengen over energie-efficiëntie. Uit een enquête leerde het VEV dat de Vlaamse bedrijven bereid zijn en er de voorkeur aan geven met de overheid een convenant te sluiten over de verbetering van hun energie-efficiëntie. Grote bedrijven zouden zich engageren de wereldtop te halen, kleinere bedrijven zouden de verbintenis aangaan hun energiegebruik te laten doorlichten. Bedrijven die de afgesproken doelstellingen halen, zouden vrijgesteld kunnen worden van een eventuele energietaks. Als de bedrijven de wereldtop niet halen, zouden zij verplicht worden emissierechten te kopen bij de Belgische overheid, die daar op haar beurt in het buitenland moet voor aankloppen. Senaat
Overigens keurde de Senaat gisteren unaniem het wetsontwerp goed ter instemming met het protocol van Kyoto over klimaatverandering. De Senaat is het eerste parlement in België dat het protocol bekrachtigt. De Kamer en de parlementen van de gewesten moeten dat nog doen. MD

 

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Fresh look at wind energy blows to US from Europe

USA: June 26, 2001
NEW YORK - Windpower is poised for a relaunch in the United States, where regulators, investors and utilities, following Europe's lead, are tilting toward improved technology that now makes windpower cost-effective, experts say.
Long-tainted by failures that burned early U.S. backers and by critics who saw windmills as an eyesore and as a danger to birds, windpower still only provides the United States with less than 1 percent of its energy.
"But now there is a perceived shortage of power that wasn't there 5 to 10 years ago," said Maurice Miller, an independent renewable energy consultant in California, where a bungled attempt at deregulation and a host of other factors has made rolling electricity blackouts part of life in the state.
"Wind energy companies are now perceived as viable, competitive businesses," said Miller, who, as former chief financial officer of U.S. Windpower, the wind industry's most notorious failure would know.
Nowadays, windpower is a viable business by nearly any standard, and is growing at 25 percent a year worldwide.
Led by Denmark, which gets 10 percent of its electricity from wind, and by widespread wind development in Germany and Spain, well-placed windfarms in spots such as the American plains states are estimated to be capable of producing three times the total electricity now generated in the entire nation.
Wind turbine technology, vastly improved in recent years, is ideal for flatlands where hot air rises - off the plains of the Dakotas, Kansas and Texas, for instance - and where cool winds are drawn off bodies of water such as the Great Lakes, the Gulf of Mexico or the Pacific Ocean off California's coast.
SLOW TO SHIFT
But Merrill Lynch analyst Steven Fleishman said wind is still a "minute factor" for the two biggest players in the U.S. windpower market, giant utility Florida Power and Light , and Enron Corp. , the largest U.S. maker of wind turbines.
Still, spurred by prices that make windpower as affordable as natural gas or coal as well as by tax subsidies for developers and government mandates requiring utilities to buy more power from renewable energy sources, both companies are now involved in big windpower projects.
And now a handful of other U.S. fund managers say wind has huge potential to make money. So much so, that Jack Robinson's Winslow Green Growth and Green Century Balanced mutual funds have twice the weighting in renewable energy companies as the S&P 500 index .
"Wind is at an inflection point where it doesn't need subsidies to be competitive with traditional power sources," Robinson said.
THE COST OF WIND
While governor of Texas, President George W. Bush signed a law mandating utilities to buy more power from alternative energy sources. Texas now has the fourth largest installed windpower capacity in the United States, and can deliver wind power at a competitive 5 cents per megawatt hour.
But Robert Beningson, chief executive of York Research Corp., an alternative energy developer based in New York City, said wind only achieves such competitive prices with the crutch of tax subsidies for developers.
What the U.S. wind industry needs now to catch up with Europe's wind power craze, Beningson said, is an extension of the Production Tax Credit (PTC), a move mentioned but not mandated in the Bush administration's new proposed energy policy.
Lyn Harrison, editor of industry magazine Windpower Monthly agrees.
"Wind is Bush's chance to marry his big business stance and the environmental messages in his proposed energy plan," said Harrison, whose magazine has offices in wind-rich Denmark and California.
Long term forecasts in the early 1990s by Pacific Gas & Electric and the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) said wind would ultimately become the least expensive electricity source.
Current data shows those forecasts are no longer pipe dreams. Based on its knowledge of current market conditions, the Washington, D.C.-based American Wind Energy Association (AWEA) estimates that the cost of tax-subsidzed wind energy at good sites ranges from 3 cents to 6 cents per kilowatt-hour (kWh).
Without the tax subsidies, or PTCs, wind generated electricity still sells at a low cost between 4 cents and 6 cents per kWh, comparable with the 4.8 cent to 5.5 cent per kWh cost of coal and the 3.9 cent to 4.4 cent per kWh cost of gas.
WIND'S TROUBLED PAST
But experts note that wind still suffers from its early bad reputation with U.S. investors.
Since its inception in the United States the late 1970s, the American wind power industry faced an uphill battle against bigger and more established oil and gas companies.
In September 1993, a California company called U.S. Windpower, then the only U.S. maker of wind turbines, raised $90 million in an initial public offering underwritten by Merrill Lynch, hoping to use the money to improve its turbine technology.
By May 1996, U.S. Windpower filed for bankruptcy after a series of mechanical failures proved windpower too expensive.
"There isn't a major institutional investor who wasn't burned by U.S. Windpower," said Jan Paulin, chief executive of Sea West, a private wind developer based in San Diego. "Their efforts were noble but they miscalculated."
Because wind development's cost reflects the time and money needed for making better equipment, scouting the windiest sties, and getting permits to build wind farms, the economics of the wind turbine business are highly sensitive to the interest rate banks charge developers, experts say.
"It's a shame that U.S. institutional investors have such an outdated view of the industry and the technology," Paulin said. "To this day, most of the U.S. wind power developments were initially funded by European banks."
Also, governmental commitment to windpower in Europe helped jump-start the industry before it became self sufficient.
WINDPOWER IN EUROPE
If wind farms were financed on the same terms as natural gas plants, their cost would drop by nearly 40 percent, according to an AWEA study.
Technological improvements that enable turbines to generate steady streams of power no matter what the wind's speed means that it is just a matter of time before U.S. investors, like Europeans, head straight into the wind business, fund manager Robinson said.
"American investors will come to wind, but they may not be investing in U.S. companies at this point in time as there are very few pure plays," said Robinson, whose funds hold the shares of Denmark's two biggest publicly listed wind turbine makers, Vestas Wind Systems, the largest wind turbine maker in the world, and NEG Micron, the No. 4 wind turbine company in the world.
Shares of Vestas and NEG Micron - both part of the Copenhagen Bourse's top-20 index, KFX - soared on May 1 after a Danish government researcher forecast that wind turbines would supply 10 percent of the world's electricity in 20 years.
Soon after, Merrill Lynch started coverage of Vestas with a "neutral" rating in the intermediate term and a "buy" rating in the long term, citing a belief that the wind power companies were on course for a sustained period of strong growth.
Denmark already gets 10 percent of its power from wind, and Vestas and NEG Micron share prices have doubled in a year.
Vestas also holds a 40 percent stake in world's No. 2 wind turbine maker, Gamesa Eolica, which is part of Spain's Gamesa Group.
Story by Jonathan Landreth
REUTERS NEWS SERVICE

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Japan should sign Kyoto treaty without US - WWF
JAPAN: June 25, 2001

TOKYO - Japan should ratify the Kyoto treaty on global warming without the United States and not set a precedent for one country to hinder an international agreement, the World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF) said on Friday.
Japan, the host of the 1997 meeting and a key ally of Washington during the negotiations, has been hesitant to ratify the treaty, saying it was meaningless unless the United States, the world's biggest economy, did the same.
The United States, also the world's biggest producer of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases, decided in March to abandon the Kyoto protocol, saying it unfairly imposed limits only on developed countries and threatened to hurt the its economy.
"I think it is clear that the U.S. will not change its mind," Director of WWF Climate Change Campaign Jennifer Morgan told a news conference in Tokyo. "We call for the prime minister to make a decision to move ahead before he leaves for the U.S."
Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi and U.S. President George W. Bush are expected to discuss the issue when they meet at Camp David on June 30.
Washington has said it would come up with a substitute plan for the treaty by seeking the participation of developing countries as well as industrialised ones.
But Morgan said Japan should not wait for the U.S. plan but join the European Union and a growing number of nations in ratifying the Kyoto Protocol.
"The U.S. plan would take time and it would set a terrible international precedent that one country's decision could set a decision on an agreement on environment," she said.
For the pact to take legal effect, it must be ratified by 55 states representing 55 percent of total man-made output of carbon dioxide.
Many EU member countries have said they will move forward without the United States and are wooing Japan to follow suit. An EU mission is set to visit Japan again in the coming weeks to convince Tokyo after failing to do so in April.
The Kyoto pact commits industrialised countries to cut their greenhouse gas emissions by an average of 5.2 percent below 1990 levels by 2012.
Scientists believe greenhouse gas emissions trap heat in the earth's atmosphere and contribute to global warming.
REUTERS NEWS SERVICE

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Belgian climate chief calls for clarity on Kyoto
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EU: June 21, 2001

BRUSSELS - The man who will represent the European Union at climate change talks next month has challenged the other nations involved to say exactly where they stand on the Kyoto global warming pact.
Belgian Energy Minister Olivier Deleuze said yesterday countries should state, ideally by next week, whether or not they will push ahead with the 1997 global warming deal, which the EU backs but the United States opposes.
"Europe is clear...I think we now need clarity from the other partners," Deleuze said in an interview with Reuters.
Kyoto commits developed countries to cut emissions over the coming decade of the greenhouse gases blamed for global warming.
Deleuze, a Green party member of Belgium's Liberal-Socialist - Green coalition, will head the EU delegation at make-or-break talks on the Kyoto protocol in Bonn next month.
When the United States rejected Kyoto the EU said it would push ahead regardless.
But the European bloc can only salvage the deal with the support of other countries which have yet to say if they will stay on board without the Americans.
Japan, seen by diplomats as a crucial player, said yesterday it still hoped to persuade the United States to back Kyoto. The EU is set to pay diplomatic visits to Japan and Canada to discuss it ahead of the Bonn meeting.
THE BASIS FOR BONN
Deleuze said he also hoped diplomats meeting in The Hague next week would clarify what they hoped to achieve at Bonn, which is supposed to finalise the rules on Kyoto.
"Not just Japan, although Japan of course has a totally crucial role. It's necessary that the international community makes clear on what basis we are going to Bonn," he said.
Countries should say whether or not they thought the latest compromise paper issued by the climate talks chairman, Dutch Environment Minister Jan Pronk, was a fair basis for negotiations, Deleuze said.
"Do we agree to negotiate on the basis of the Pronk paper? Will these negotiations bring us to an agreement that will fulfil the conditions (required to bring the deal into force)? We're not going to go to Bonn knowing nothing."
The EU is keen to avoid a repeat of similar talks in The Hague last November where differences between Europe and the United States - which under the Clinton administration still backed Kyoto - prevented a final deal.
"The European Union must show it's ready to compromise," Deleuze said, "But that's not a renegotiation of the protocol - it was negotiated in 1997 and signed by countries, including the United States."
Deleuze declined to say which areas the EU was prepared to move on, but acknowledged what had been the most problematic points for the United States and for its allies including Japan, Canada and Australia.
"Everyone knows the sensitive points," Deleuze said.
The main ones were how much could countries use "flexible mechanisms" such as buying the right to pollute, and how much their forests and farmlands could be considered "sinks" that soak up carbon and reduce the need to cut emissions, he said.
Story by Robin Pomeroy
REUTERS NEWS SERVICE

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UK says it will push ahead on Kyoto treaty
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UK: June 21, 2001

LONDON - Britain's Labour government said yesterday it would push ahead with efforts to cut greenhouse gases by meeting its commitments under the Kyoto treaty, even though the pact has been abandoned by the United States.

In the Queen's speech at the state opening of parliament, which sets out legislative proposals until late next year, the government of Prime Minister Tony Blair said it was committed to tackling climate change and making a reality of sustainable development.
"It (the government) will fulfil the United Kingdom's international obligations arising from the Kyoto Protocol," the text of the speech said.
The 1997 Kyoto accord on global warming requires developed nations to meet emission reduction targets that could mean big investments by power plants and other industrial sources of greenhouse gases.
In a meeting with European leaders last weekend, U.S. President George W. Bush stuck to his position that the Kyoto treaty should be abandoned, saying it hurt the U.S. economy.
Downing Street said Blair's policies delivered and even exceeded Kyoto commitments.
"The government's programme is estimated to cut the UK's greenhouse gas emissions by 23 percent below 1990 levels by 2010, almost double the UK's target under the Kyoto Protocol of a 12.5 percent reduction below 1990 levels by 2008-2012," the government said in a statement.
The government has also set a domestic goal to cut carbon dioxide emissions by 20 percent below 1990 levels by 2010, it said.

REUTERS NEWS SERVICE

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Australia welcomes talks with EU on Kyoto pact

AUSTRALIA: June 20, 2001
CANBERRA - Australian Foreign Minister Alexander Downer said yesterday he welcomed a visit by European Union delegates who are seeking to shore up support for the Kyoto climate treaty.
The European Union (EU) plans to send a new mission worldwide to urge states to ratify the Kyoto protocol after the United States rejected the pact which seeks to limit emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases thought to cause global warming.
Australia's stance on Kyoto has remained ambiguous with Prime Minister John Howard saying he sympathised with Washington's concerns over Kyoto's failure to include developing nations like China which are increasingly big polluters.
But Downer denied that the conservative government, which is trailing in polls ahead of an expected year-end election, backed the U.S.'s rejection of Kyoto.
"We haven't said that we'd back the U.S. position," Downer told reporters yesterday. "We've signed up to the Kyoto Protocol. We haven't unsigned what we've signed."
Downer said he was looking forward to meeting EU officials to talk about Kyoto, possibly next month.
"How the Kyoto process is taken forward now that the Americans have made the decision they've made, that's something we'll have to work through with the Europeans, with the Americans, the Japanese and the Russians," Downer said.
The EU is hoping to reach a final agreement on the protocol at a United Nations summit in Bonn in July.
President George W. Bush has enraged environmentalists and provoked stern rebukes from the EU for his decision not to ratify the Kyoto protocol.
The United States - the world's top producer of carbon dioxide - pulled out of the treaty earlier this year, saying it was harmful to its economy and did not include developing nations.
The pact, agreed in the Japanese city of Kyoto in 1997, foresaw industrialised nations cutting emissions of greenhouse gases by an average of 5.2 percent from 1990 levels by 2012.
Australia, the world's biggest coal exporter, had agreed to limit its emissions to eight percent above its 1990 levels due to its heavy reliance on fossil fuels.
REUTERS NEWS SERVICE

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Japan PM to hold summit talks with Britain, France
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JAPAN: June 19, 2001

TOKYO - Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi will travel to Europe for meetings with the leaders of Britain and France after a summit at the end of the month with U.S. President George W. Bush, the top government spokesman said yesterday.
Koizumi, on his first overseas trip since he swept to office in late April, will fly to Britain and on to France after meeting Bush on June 30 at the Camp David presidential retreat outside Washington, top government spokesman Yasuo Fukuda told a news conference.
He will hold talks with British Prime Minister Tony Blair on July 2 and meet French President Jacques Chirac on July 4. Koizumi will also hold talks with French Prime Minister Lionel Jospin in Paris before returning home on July 5, Fukuda said.
Domestic media said Koizumi wants to meet leaders of Japan's key allies before the Group of Eight summit of advanced nations and Russia to be held in Genoa, Italy, in late July.
While there are no pressing issues between Japan and the two European countries, the Kyoto agreement on global warming that the United States has rejected would be a likely topic for discussion, analysts said.
REUTERS NEWS SERVICE

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EU urges Japan to commit to Kyoto pact

GOTEBORG, Sweden (Kyodo) Prime Minister Goran Persson of Sweden, which currently holds the European Union's rotating presidency, on Saturday urged Japan to take a resolute stand toward ratifying the Kyoto Protocol aimed at curbing global warming.
"I really hope that the Japanese government will be strong and consistent in their support for the Kyoto Protocol," Persson told Kyodo News, with a view to the resumed session in July's Sixth Conference of Parties of the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change in Bonn, Germany.
Persson stressed that the international environment agreement aimed at curbing global warming is "the only tool" to combat climate change globally. He made his remarks following the conclusion of the EU summit meeting in Sweden's city of Goteborg.
In Europe there are widespread concerns over Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi's remarks in a Diet debate Wednesday, where he said, "At the moment, we have not decided to make a decision independently" from the U.S.
He was responding to Yukio Hatoyama, leader of the Democratic Party of Japan, who urged the prime minister to seek Diet approval for the pact independently as a step to pressure the U.S. to change its position.
Koizumi's comment appears to reflect Tokyo's delicate position. A Japanese official in Tokyo told Kyodo by telephone, "Frankly, Japan is not so sure about going ahead without the United States," because it may result in repercussions on relations between Tokyo and Washington, which is the axis of Japan's foreign policy.
EU leaders agreed Friday to send a diplomatic mission to Japan, Australia and Canada in a bid to procure their commitments to ratify the 1997 Kyoto Protocol. Persson said the failure of international negotiations on deciding the operational rules over the treaty would set the world back at least 10 years.
He also urged Japan to become more assertive in the upcoming resumed talks on global warming, in light of the EU leaders' having obtained a pledge >from U.S. President George W. Bush during a meeting Thursday that Washington will not counteract agreements made in Kyoto Protocol negotiations.
Last Monday, Bush rejected the Kyoto Protocol as "fatally flawed" and called for an alternative requiring the participation of developing countries and more science-based solutions.
In 1992, the international society adopted the Framework Convention on Climate Change, after which the Kyoto Protocol was adopted in 1997 during the convention's third meeting in Kyoto.
The protocol requires industrialized countries to impose binding limits on emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases by an average of 5.2 percent below 1990 levels from 2008 to 2012.
This goal, however, was thrown into turmoil mainly because of the recent de facto withdrawal of the U.S., the world's largest carbon dioxide emitter, from the treaty.
The EU has recently pledged to ratify the Kyoto treaty. T

he Japan Times: June 18, 2001

(C) All rights reserved

 

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EU renewable energy law all but finalised

ENDS Daily, 20/06/2001

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A draft EU directive to promote electricity from renewable sources came close to finalisation today as the European Parliament's energy committee endorsed a compromise reached between governments and the assembly's rapporteur MEP Mechtild Rothe. But an argument over whether biodegradable waste burning should be classed as renewable is likely to delay adoption of the law.
Under the deal, individual member state targets to increase renewable electricity generation will remain non-binding, and national renewable support schemes will enjoy a seven-year transition period once the EU agrees a harmonised support scheme. The European Commission is to propose harmonising rules within four years of the directive's entry-into-force.
The parliament earlier called for mandatory targets and a ten-year transition period to protect successful feed-in subsidy schemes in Germany and France. In return for dropping these the rapporteur won a stronger commitment to introduce binding targets if the indicative approach fails, and better access to electricity distribution networks, including possible transfer of connection costs from generators to grid operators.
Ms Rothe negotiated the deal last night with the Swedish presidency representing all 15 EU governments. The move is unusual, and is aimed at avoiding a lengthy conciliation battle. The compromise must still be approved at a parliamentary plenary session.
The one remaining sticking point is whether the biodegradable fraction of mixed municipal waste should be classed as renewable. At first reading EU governments agreed it should be, while the parliament took the opposite view, urged on by environmental groups claiming the move would divert subsidies from "real" renewables and discourage waste prevention (ED 27/03/01).
Italy and the Netherlands are strongly opposed to changing the classification, backed by Portugal and the UK. To force a conciliation over the issue, the parliament would have to reiterate its demand. The energy committee voted to do this today, but only by 25 votes to 22. This signals a very tight plenary vote, since at second reading an absolute majority is needed to adopt proposals.
Follow-up:  European Parliament energy committee, tel: +32 2 284 2111, where the adopted amendments will soon be posted
 

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Belgian EU presidency will push for energy tax
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EU: June 21, 2001

BRUSSELS - Belgium will push to harmonise energy taxes across the European Union when it takes over the rotating six-month presidency of the bloc next month, its energy minister said yesterday.
Belgium, one of the leading advocates for deeper European political integration, will push the idea for harmonised energy tax levels, despite reservations from more Eurosceptic nations such as Britain, Belgian Energy Minister Olivier Deleuze said.
"The Belgian government has said one of its aims is to try to get an agreement on a harmonised framework of energy taxes between the biggest number of member states," Deleuze told Reuters in an interview.
Deleuze said Belgium would carry on diplomatic efforts started by the Swedes, who will relinquish the EU presidency at the end of June, to get the unanimous agreement between the 15 EU countries which is required for changes to EU tax policy.
The EU's executive Commission proposed setting minimum EU tax levels on energy products such as coal, gas and electricity in 1997. Minimum tax on oil duties already exist.
But the draft legislation hit deadlock as national governments - particularly Spain and Britain, according to EU diplomats - refused to relinquish their sovereign right to set taxes.
Sweden failed to makes substantive progress on the issue and the legislation was again rejected by finance ministers when they last met earlier this month.
But Deleuze said it should be possible to create a framework law which sets the legal structure for harmonising taxes without actually setting tax rates. The Swedish presidency had already been working on this idea, he added.
Once the law was in place, groups of countries could push ahead with harmonisation while others could opt out, Deleuze said.
"We will make contacts see if we can get agreement on a directive on the structure - which would be a kind of empty box in which there's room to set rates for energy tax," he said.
"Then we would see if those rates can be set by 'enhanced cooperation'," he said, referring to the process of some countries moving ahead with EU policies faster than others.
Deleuze, a member of the ecologist faction of Belgium's Liberal-Socialist-Green coalition, said energy tax was a key policy for reducing greenhouse gases blamed for causing global warming and that harmonising them within the EU was essential to prevent unfair competition between member states.
"Obviously no country will agree to take any measures that will lead to relocation of companies (from their territory). And that's quite right because a chimney in Germany or in Belgium is still a chimney - so we need a certain amount of de facto harmonisation."
Story by Robin Pomeroy

REUTERS NEWS SERVICE

 

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EU sustainable development strategy adopted
Environment Daily 1011, 18/06/01
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European leaders adopted the bloc's first ever sustainable
development strategy at their summit meeting in Gothenburg on Saturday.
The environmental dimension of the parallel "Lisbon strategy" on
becoming the most competitive region in the world will be reviewed at
every spring summit of EU leaders from now on, starting next year.
Under the strategy, member states will have to develop national
sustainability plans, major EU policy proposals will include
sustainability impact assessments, EU institutions will improve
internal policy coordination between different sectors, and progress
will be reviewed annually, with the aid of "headline indicators" to be
developed before next spring's Barcelona summit. The Cardiff process
of sectoral integration will also be reviewed at this time.
For the most part a long series of specific actions proposed by the
European Commission have not been taken up by EU leaders, as predicted
by Environment Daily - (ED 15/06/01).
On climate the leaders "reaffirm" the EU's commitment to the Kyoto
protocol and to "work to ensure" it enters force by 2002. They also
reaffirm a "determination" to meet indicative targets for increasing
renewable energy generation.
Under new guidelines for funding trans-European transport networks,
the strategy calls for priority funding for public transport, railways
and inland waterways; it also "notes" the Commission's intention to
propose a framework ensuring that by 2004 the price of using different
modes of transport "better reflects costs to society."
The EU must also "decouple economic growth from resource use" by
implementing an integrated product policy, and manage resources better
by ensuring the common agricultural policy contributes to
"environmentally sustainable production methods," including organic
production, renewable raw materials and biodiversity protection. Public health should be protected by a new EU chemicals policy before
2004 which should ensure substances "do not lead to a significant
impact" within a generation. Responding to the strategy today, EU environment commissioner Margot
Wallström expressed disappointment that leaders had not been "more
specific on concrete actions," but called the strategy a "big step
forward" for putting the environmental dimension of sustainable
development on a par with the economy and social issues. All the
Commission's proposals "remain on the table," she insisted.
One particular area where heads of government had "missed an
opportunity for political leadership," said the commissioner, was their
failure to endorse a proposal for the EU to commit to specified cuts in
greenhouse gases beyond the Kyoto protocol "first commitment period" of
2008-12.
A spokesperson for Swedish environment minister Kjell Larsson said
the EU presidency had also wanted more "targets and timetables" but
that it had to tone down its ambitions because of delays in the
Commission. "It's a fact that they had 18 months from the Helsinki
summit, and we only got it a month ago," she said.

For CNE's Goteborg page, click here

 

 

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German power plants meet emissions cut targets - VDEW
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GERMANY: June 19, 2001
FRANKFURT - German power plants since 1990 cut carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions by nearly eight percent, showing they were serious about global climate protection goals, electricity industry body VDEW said yesterday.
German production of power from coal, oil and gas rose by five percent in the period under review, a VDEW statement said, citing latest surveys. But their annual emissions of CO2 - thought to contribute to global warming - during that time dropped to 267 million tonnes from 289 million, it added. The German power industry in 1996 had pledged to reduce annual CO2 emissions by 12 percent to 255 million tonnes by the year 2015. VDEW president Guenther Marquis said the reduction by 22 million tonnes in the 1990s showed that power companies were keeping their earlier promises. This was also demonstrated by the specific CO2 emissions savings per kilowatt hour - these dropped by 13 percent to 0.58 kilogram per kWh in the period under review, VDEW said. VDEW said new plant constructions, higher efficiency rates, and the increased usage of gas with lower specific CO2 emissions had contributed to these savings. Other factors were the expansion of renewable energy sources and combined heat and power (CHP) plants in Germany. Nuclear energy currently helps save 160 million tonnes of CO2 emissions annually, as these would be incurred if the third of German power output they contribute was produced at plants based on fossil fuel usage, VDEW said. Industry and government have agreed to phase out Germany's nuclear power plants by the mid-2020s. Germany is to host the sixth annual U.N. Conference of Parties (COP6) to discuss the 1997 Kyoto Protocol aimed at cutting greenhouse gas emissions in Bonn (July 16-27).
REUTERS NEWS SERVICE

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CHINA SAID TO SHARPLY REDUCE CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS

New York Times June 15, 2001

BEIJING, June 14 - In the debate on global climate change it has long been a given that China, with its huge population and endless coal reserves, would overtake the United States early this century as the biggest source of the atmospheric pollution that scientists believe is warming the planet. That specter of runaway Chinese emissions has been cited by President Bush as a major reason for describing as "fatally flawed" the 1997 Kyoto agreement to protect the climate. The treaty exempts developing countries, including China, from its initial, binding limits on the output of carbon dioxide and other so-called greenhouse gases that scientists believe are causing traumatic changes in the climate. But treaty obligation or not, China has already achieved a dramatic slowing in its emissions of carbon dioxide in the last decade, Chinese and Western energy experts say. That record of progress has pushed further into the horizon the day that China will surpass the United States as the lead culprit, and it is something that Mr. Bush seems to have overlooked in his harsh appraisal. Chinese officials insist that their country will do its fair share to combat a serious global threat. "We already have one of the world's best records in improving energy efficiency," Zhou Dadi, director of the Energy Research Institute of the central government's State Development Planning Commission, said in an interview. "Our challenge is this: Can we give people an acceptable lifestyle and also address the problem of climate change?" Mr. Zhou said. "As an energy expert, I think we need a demonstration from a developed country to prove that a high living standard can be associated with lower carbon emissions," he said. "Then China will follow that example or even do better." In the most surprising development, China's annual output of carbon dioxide in the last four years of rapid economic growth has actually declined, according to data compiled by the United States Department of Energy. While the numbers could be overstated because of flaws in both economic and energy statistics, some experts think, China does seem to have achieved a stunning if temporary reversal of the usual trend during economic expansion. "China's emissions of carbon dioxide have shrunk by 17 percent since the mid-1990's," according to an April report from researchers at the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory in California. "Remarkably, over the same period, G.D.P. grew by 36 percent." "Even without undertaking binding commitments under an international agreement," the researchers concluded, China "has nevertheless contributed substantially to reducing growth in global emissions." This achievement has been a welcome side effect of China's shift to market prices for fuels, including an end to coal subsidies, and its programs to encourage energy conservation and fight urban air pollution, mainly by curbing the burning of coal. Only a few years ago, many studies projected that China would emerge as the world's leading source of carbon dioxide by 2020, but these recent developments appear to have put off that day by years or even decades. Although the United States has improved its energy efficiency since the oil crises of the 1970's, recent trends like the fad for large, gas-guzzling vehicles have undermined the former goal of returning carbon dioxide output to 1990 levels. "There is a good basis to argue that China has done more to combat climate change over the past decade than has the United States," according to a new report by the Natural Resources Defense Council, an American environmental group that aids energy conservation projects in China. Mr. Bush, most recently on Monday, has said he cannot support the 1997 Kyoto Protocol in large part because it exempts China and other developing countries from the initial limits on emissions of greenhouse gases that richer countries are supposed to accept. With his condemnation of the hard- won treaty, Mr. Bush has set off a tempest in Europe and many developing countries, which are more convinced of the looming threat of climate change and had thought they had agreement to act. The signatory countries will meet next month in Bonn to search for ways to save an agreement with some teeth. In his speech on Monday, Mr. Bush complained that China, as the second-largest emitter of greenhouse gases, after the United States, "was entirely exempted from the requirements in the Kyoto Protocol." Chinese officials point to what they feel is their unacknowledged progress, but they also say the rich countries, which account for most of the carbon dioxide that has already accumulated in the atmosphere, must show that they are serious. "We've done what we can to reduce emissions, and we'll continue to do so," Gao Feng, a senior Foreign Ministry official here who has taken part in the climate negotiations, said in a recent interview. "But it's not fair to ask the developing countries to take the lead." "Before the developed countries show that they will do something real and good to address this issue, why should the developing countries make a commitment?" Mr. Gao asked, repeating the arguments that have led to an impasse between developing nations and the Bush administration. Because it is so large and makes such enormous, inefficient use of coal - the worst fuel in terms of climate effects - China is second only to the United States in emissions of carbon dioxide. At the same time, its people consume on average only one-tenth as much energy as Americans, and they hunger for economic advances. In the last decade, according to data compiled by the United States Energy Department, China's carbon dioxide emissions from the burning of fossil fuels have climbed at annual rate of 0.9 percent - lower than the 1.3 percent a year registered in the United States, even as China's economy expanded much more rapidly. Despite the recent slowdown, experts say, substantial future growth in carbon dioxide emissions is inevitable in China as the country develops. Yet officials here also say that China accepts the need to work against global warming and that at some point, they know, China will need to accept international targets. "Strategically, we have adopted climate change as an important concern in our energy planning," said Mr. Zhou of the Energy Research Institute. Before 1980, Mr. Zhou said, China's energy use increased 1.6 times as fast as the economy. But in the last 20 years, he said, energy use has grown at less than half the rate of the economy - an exceptional advance in the efficient use of fuels. India and other large developing countries have also improved efficiency but not as dramatically. With a combination of increasingly stringent regulations, like energy codes for new buildings, as well as other conservation programs and rising prices, Chinese planners hope to preserve a similar low ratio of energy use to growth in the decade to come, Mr. Zhou said. "It's not easy because there is no precedent anywhere in the world," he said. Fuel use in much of China remains extremely wasteful, however, leaving opportunities for large gains. "Our per capita energy use is just one-tenth of that in the United States and one-seventh of that in Europe," Mr. Zhou said. "With development, it must be increased. "I don't think China can achieve a unique style of development," he said. "Americans drive cars while we ride bicycles; you live in houses while we live in dormitories." Frank Loy, who as under secretary of state under President Clinton helped negotiate climate issues and has since left government, said he believed that creative new approaches might allow the United States and other countries to proceed against greenhouse gases, but that this would require some give on all sides. Mr. Loy said it was reasonable for the United States to insist on assurances that its efforts will be part of an effective, shared global plan to curb emissions. At the same time, he said, it would not be fair to stifle the development of poor countries. As one possible compromise, Mr. Loy said, developing countries like China could take on an obligation to keep emissions at a certain fraction of economic growth, rather than setting absolute limits. Or they could adopt targets for energy efficiency as their economies grow. Mr. Loy said he believed that some in the Bush Administration started out with a clear goal: "to drive a stake through the heart of the Kyoto agreement." But the outcry at home and abroad, he said, has led them to second thoughts. At the same time, Mr. Loy noted that poor countries, with their extreme vulnerability to climate-related natural disasters, have the most to lose if the agreement collapses, and he called for more flexibility on their part. The original 1992 treaty laying out the framework for climate talks, he noted, called for "common but differentiated obligations" on the part of rich and poor countries. "It's too bad that this has been transformed into a group of countries that have real obligations and a group of countries that don't have any," he said.
 
 

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executive summary
Drilling in Detroit by UCS

download the full report here (pdf, over 2 MB!)

The fuel economy of today's cars and light trucks is at its lowest point in 20 years. A combination of federal inaction on fuel economy policy and the increased marketing of sport utility vehicles (SUVs) and minivans as substitutes for passenger cars have led to this point.
Our nation now faces a number of significant and growing problems that could be addressed through a reasonable but aggressive approach to fuel economy improvements. These problems include increased consumer fuel costs; a growing dependence on imported oil; rising emissions of greenhouse gases, toxics, and smog-forming pollutants; and a fleet that is less safe than it would have been without the massive infusion of today's light trucks.
This report represents a comprehensive assessment of both the technical and economic potential of achieving a safe and fuel-efficient fleet. The analysis is based on existing technologies, many of which are on the road today. The research combined conservative economic assessments with sound computer models to investigate the impacts of significant fuel economy improvements through the year 2020. The study shows that increasing the fuel economy of the nation's fleet of new cars and light trucks to 40 miles per gallon (mpg) by 2012 and then to 55 mpg by 2020 can yield significant benefits to consumers, the economy, and the environment without sacrificing passenger safety during a collision. These findings indicate that, instead of looking for oil in environmentally sensitive areas, the nation can tap the ingenuity of Detroit's automobile industry to produce a fleet of safe and fuel-efficient vehicles. For these